Do you know of anyone getting fired and replaced by AI?

If the current generation of "AI" can replace someone they either have low-value skills, or the employer just wants an excuse to let them go. Certain fields face immediate or imminent risk from current technology: transcription and translation as another person commented, summarizing documents, customer service, for example.

The layoffs in tech that started last year are driven mainly by pandemic over-hiring and interest rates, along with a lot of greed and terrible management. ChatGPT et al. have little to nothing to do with it.

In my field, programming, the output from LLMs works best to generate more technical debt and maybe to train and guide the least-experienced people, who always get cut first anyway when employers look to reduce headcount.

If your programming skills amount to copy & paste or wiring up front-end frameworks, you should improve your skills. If AI doesn't replace those people $10/hr outsourcing will.

there is a lot of this that is mid-flight.

all these layoffs are coinciding with an uptick in skunkworks “how can something like chatgpt or copilot replace the need for a backfill or act as a force multiplier?” an additional monthly subscription for each team member in place of an additional headcount for the team. you can get a lot of chatgpt subscriptions before you reach the cost of one person.

have seen some firsthand, significantly more secondhand.

Transcription and translation seem like careers to avoid, IMHO.