So I'm trying to gather some data! How many hyped technologies since, say, 1940s, actually delivered on the hype, mostly at least? The examples I can think of mostly didn't, but I must be missing some.
Some things that IMO didn't deliver (so far at least) include:
- nuclear fusion
- quantum computing
- nuclear power, as the too-cheap-to-meter power source
- self-driving cars (so far - we have great technology but nothing resembling an autonomous car for the masses)
- space travel for the masses (as predicted in 60s and 70s)
- social media, which seem already in decline
On the flipside the Internet delivered far, far more than anyone could imagine in it's early days. So I wonder how good are hypes as predictors of future performance.
I also think Cloud Computing has generally met the hype
The Mechanical Turk (not the Amazon one) turned out to be a guy in a box. Yet, the mythos that presumably surrounded it was only possible because it was also designed to fool casual examiners. So, even if we argue that the tech demonstration at Conference X shows the product living up to the hype, there is a solid chance it is still an illusion designed to get us to buy in. So, from where I stand, hype is an empty promise intended to deceive.
In the spirit of the original question, I find myself much more curious about how other people define hype.
Things worth the hype:
Hubble, JWST, power steering, airbags, antilock brakes. Actually the only things I can think of are material sciences, safety mechanics, construction techniques, and scientific observations. These are all things hyped in a professional venue that are boring in general contexts. I can’t think of anything in the mainstream that was worth the hype.
* The Haber-Bosch process (for creating synthetic fertilizers)
* Fracking (strictly in terms of the promise to unlock previously un-usable petroleum reserves, whether or not that's a good thing depends on how climate change affects humanity in the longer run)
* Solar cells
* Penicillin (and antibiotics more generally)
* Vaccines in general
* mRNA vaccines in particular (maybe too early to tell, we'll see if the COVID vaccines were a one-hit wonder)
* Semaglutide (again, maybe too early to tell)