HACKER Q&A
📣 precedentmorsel

Are you an optimist for the next 10 years?


Are you an optimist for the next 10 years?


  👤 aristofun Accepted Answer ✓
Obviously.

There is nothing more ignorant that to be pessimistic just because of being in the midst of another crisis.

It is your fear and instincts speaking, not reason.

Because logically- mankind had never had a crisis that didn’t end up with another phase of growth that reached new heights.

No reasons to assume things are gonna be different just because you witness it.

It is exactly because of crisis things get better afterwards.


👤 simne
Well, latest trends to talk that ultra-specialized I-shaped specialist is not good, but in modern environment should be Pi-shaped (Greek Pi letter with two legs), or multiple-legs shaped specialist, like m-shaped or even more legs.

I'm not I-shaped, so I will talk separately about different matters.

Technically, or on cybernetic industry, I'm absolutely optimistic, I'm sure, we will see Great achievements nearest time.

For others, I'm not so optimistic.

In my "viewport", international politics is not looking enough optimistic, I think it's not fatal, we will live, civilization infrastructure will survive, but possible millions of victims of non-optimal control.

Similar thing about international economy - it will sure suffer very much from non-optimal politics.

I believe, Earth will avoid new world war, but it will cost huge resources and huge number of victims in local conflicts.

Very high probability, we will see one of more waves of millions of refugees, and current refugees will not return to their home countries.

Yes, must admit, largest world subjects have great crisis, but I believe in democracy and I know from history, democracies usually become stronger in crisis.

So, also high probability, in nearest 2-3 years old democracies will resolve their crisis and world will become better, safer place, with more democracy, and next years will be just other technological circle.

Unfortunately, for non-democratic and for border worlds, things much worse. As democracies busy in their crisis, "third world" will suffer great shakes, already existing local wars and some tensions could also transform to few wars.

I'm sure in "third world" tech achievements will be used at war. I want to avoid such scenario, but I have not enough resources to do so.

And latest, sure, will be huge differences how these years will live "first world" and "third world", but I'm optimistic about border countries, who now making desperate tries to become important for "first world" - I think, their pains will be considered in "first world" and they will got significant support.


👤 admissionsguy
Yes, quite excited about it actually. Personally, I will be most likely moving to the USA within two years (finally figured out EB2-NIW is the way to go). Nowhere else does one pay relatively small taxes and get 11 carrier strike groups out of it! Globally, there is even more to look forward to - tech (bio, space), politics (left seems to be waning), economy are all looking good. If there is something I am worried about, it's the barbarians, but the issue will take a bit more than 10 years to come to a head (and in any case, it's never the barbarians that take down empires).

👤 bravetraveler
It's tumultuous. I should be optimistic; personally things have trended upwards consistently - and if you look around, so has 'modern society'. Whatever that means.

Yet... I'm conflicted. I'm the exception. Without guessing numbers/getting too into it, I can say a majority of my graduating class spanning the southern half of a state had no future. We all live in different realities.

I see the Great Value Dystopia being built around me. There's value [for someone], I'm just not sure it's me.


👤 hotpotamus
I think back 10 years and I was pretty pessimistic about where we would be now, but I think things have mostly turned out worse than I expected. I can’t imagine being a child these days with the increasingly bleak future they’re facing, and I used to feel quite opposite of that; I was jealous of the future they’d get to see that I wouldn’t. So no.

👤 giantg2
I'm not optimistic at all.

I feel that my company will increase their outsourcing and selling off parts of the company. The working environment at my company will continue to change in ways that make it more difficult for someone with my disability to be successful. My skills will atrophy further.

My home life will continue to be rough due to family medical issues, small children, and financial/ideological disagreements.

Overall I think there will be interesting breakthroughs in many areas of technology, medicine, etc. However, I think most of the technical enhancements will end up being misapplied or implemented in ways that are not to my liking. Life will continue to get more complicated and expensive. I'm sure that there will be more bad laws passed than good ones, however well intentioned they started out.


👤 nicbou
I'm feeling neutral.

I like the expression "changing the game" because it suggests neither improving nor worsening the situation. It just changes the rules. Well, AI changes the game. It will be wild.

Locally, in Berlin, things will get worse. In Germany too. Too many problems went ignored for too long, too many investments were delayed. It feels like services will noticeably degrade for all residents.

Personally, things just keep getting better. I get a growing sense of mastery about life in general. I feared aging but now feel its sweeter side.

The world? Some parts will get better and others will get worse. I haven't seen enough of it to judge. I just know that one place's dark age is another's enlightenment.


👤 paulcole
No. I think I’ll probably manage OK, but in the US at least it’s going to be pretty grim for a lot of people unless something drastically changes.

Beyond the next few decades the effects of climage change are going to be hard to avoid unless you’re particularly wealthy.


👤 lgkk
I'm an optimist until I die. While alive, live.

I have no idea what came before, what will come, or even if this is all in my head.

Might as well play the game until its over lol. To be a pessimist or complacent is to die, for me at least.


👤 tacostakohashi
I'm pretty mixed!

I'm bearish on:

- big cities and living in them - tech and finance jobs - the internet

I'm bullish on:

- decentralized / rural living / communities - asset prices, both stocks and real estate


👤 ijhuygft776
No... tech. will destroy us... I think it already started but not sure if most people will notice it in 10 years from now.

👤 nothercastle
Someone will win big in the next decade. The question is will it be you? Me? China? Europe? USA? That we don’t know.

👤 BobbyTables2
What kind of question is?

I’m optimistic we won’t have nuclear annihilation.

I’m not optimistic about many other things.


👤 mikewarot
I think we need to avoid the 3 problems, DNA weapons, Atomic Weapons, and AI weapons.

I think that in the long run, we'll work them all out. Compared to my youth, the stakes these days seem lower. I no longer worry every night about getting flash boiled by a Soviet 10 Megaton warhead, or a Communist Invasion.


👤 codingclaws
We need AGI/ASI to hit and be a good thing.