Motivation: Was reading "Ian Wilmut, Creator of Dolly the Sheep Dies" [1] today, and realized that Dolly was born back in 1996 (>1/4 century). Yet, I rarely, if ever, read about cloning of any kind until Dolly's creator dies.
Notably, this appears to be a case where the tech is being used, yet not written about very much [2]. The list of species cloned is pages long, yet I have not read about any of these in major news. [3] Cloning hamburger (cattle)? Cloning housepets (canines)? Backup housepets in case Yeller falls in the well (Sooam Biotech, South Korea, was reported in 2015 to have cloned 700 dogs for their owners @ $100k / each)?
Other examples from my own view:
Graphene - First sighted 2004, still cannot buy graphene in any real quantities (cm's for $100's)
Digital/Smart/Bionic Contact Lens - First sighted 2010, apparently existed earlier (1999). A lot of companies have appeared and then failed or pivoted [4] (Mojo Vision being the most recent [5])
Thermal Cameras - I really thought every phone would have a cheap, mass manufacture thermal camera by now, so everybody could do "U so hot" jokes.
[1] https://www.reuters.com/world/uk/uk-scientist-who-created-dolly-sheep-clone-dies-79-2023-09-11/
[2] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Commercial_animal_cloning
[3] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_animals_that_have_been_cloned
[4] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Augmented_reality#Contact_lenses
[5] https://techcrunch.com/2023/04/05/after-losing-sight-of-its-initial-pitch-mojo-vision-eyes-pivot-with-22-4m-raise/
It's often the case that a number of technologies have to converge to make a compelling product, and then all of them become commercially available at basically the same time. Firearms, for instance, required both the ability to cast strong, straight metal barrels and the ability to produce gunpowder. Prior to around 1600, these technologies existed but nobody was really pursuing them very hard because either one, by itself, isn’t that useful. Put them together and suddenly the world changes.
Some things have rebounded after a dismal start
Tablet computers (credit Steve Jobs) vs. HyperCard (credit Steve Jobs)
All sorts of digital (and analog) media (until they're nearly gone)
Pivoting headlights (making a comeback, I understand )
Cameras that don't need a battery
Gas Turbines?
They're not built in, but you can easily get a thermal camera that plugs into your mobile these days - that one's definitely been improving rather than disappearing. Due to the cost of ownership, there are also companies that will come in with their own and do thermal mapping of your whole house.
I'm not sure if this one really makes a list since nothing was ever mass produced, but automatic food preparer/cooker machines are kind of a popular sci-fi-of-the-80s idea. Some attempts were made and mostly failed to get traction. I've not heard about them for years now.
I’ve never needed to buy graphene before… why would most people? Not every technology needs to be applicable at home for it to count as “not vanished”.
Upon googling it, I found this source for about $1/cm^2 of graphene, which is 100x cheaper than what you seemed to be claiming: https://grolltex.com/product/monolayer-graphene-on-copper-fo...
Regardless, one recent product announcement I remember hearing about, which can apparently be bought on Amazon for $13: https://www.thermal-grizzly.com/en/products/625-kryosheet-en
Graphene is real. It hasn’t vanished. It just takes a long time for a new material to become widely used unless it fits neatly as a substitute for something else that was already there. By all appearances, the graphene industry is still growing.
> Thermal Cameras
Seriously? Thermal cameras are commonly used in so many professional applications. They’re not even that expensive, if you want one. No, every smartphone maker is not going to add 5% to 50% to their BoM (depending on quality and phone price, rough estimate) for a feature most people don’t need. Some smartphones offer thermal cameras for people who need that.
IIRC Google Glass was announced accompanied by sky divers landing at the conference center.
They may not be in phones, but thermal cameras are cheap, and ubiquitous in many fields. I'd venture that the majority of the fire departments in the US have thermal cameras in operation at this point, and probably most of the people (including hobbyists) with an electronics test bench have one.
For several years after Avatar it was hard to watch movies that weren't showing in 3D. People rushed out to buy 3D TVs. Phones were featuring 3D displays. Cameras were boasting the ability to capture 3D pictures...
I think 3D will eventually make a come back as VR technology progresses, but I genuinely didn't get the hype for 3D during that period.
I believe the showstopper was that in even the slightest fender-bender, the flywheel would get off-balance and yeet off in a random direction, causing mayhem and calamity.
the inventor took it's recipe to the grave.
Incandescent lightbulbs, gas mantle tech, CRT display tech, vinyl/cassette and especially CD/DVD tech, etc.
With fashion, maybe teasmades (alarm clocks that brew tea), I'm sure there are better examples.
With legal/moral/health restrictions, maybe 'consumer' radioactive tech, radium clocks etc.
At the time (late 90s) I bought (on behalf of my employer) a FLIR camera that had a 512x512 sensor for $70k. I remember the cheapest camera we could find was 15k, it had almost no optics and the sensor was noisy as all get out.
I have a thermal inspection workstation (FLIR) that cost about $2700 and has a 320x240 sensor.
So there really has been a cost reduction. It's just more linear than exponential. A few years back, I got a camera for a friend which had a 90x90 sensor, and I think it cost $165 if memory serves. When I worked at that lab, it was inconceivable that a normal person would ever own an IR camera. They were the exclusive domain of researchers, large corporations, and law enforcement. I have 5 or so.
Also, the average person doesn't understand the electromagnetic spectrum, or concepts like emissivity or reflection. They think they're seeing an accurate temperature from their device, not understanding that every material they measure has its own k value.
** BTW: I tried to research this mineral/element and could not find any documentation on it. If you happen to know its name, or if I'm completely off base and its not used anymore, I'd love to know about it.
Hand gesture computer control (Leap Motion).
Flash.
Wework. Peloton.
Google Plus. Google Wave. Google Reader. Google...
https://www.renewableenergyworld.com/storage/tiny-alcohol-fu...
I can't find much about this on google, but I swear it was a thing. Some people discussed it on this website for half-baked ideas:
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Steorn
https://www.wired.com/2009/12/orbo-strikes-back-perpetual-mo...
Well they kind of do - you can buy a tiny thermal camera for your smartphone. They aren't built-in in most phones because it's a specialty feature and it's not "cheap" cheap.
The thing with thermal cameras is that the progress has been artificially restricted by the arms regulations, especially in the US. That was a major factor behind them staying so expensive for years despite having the tech.
https://www.ergocanada.com/products/other/ergodex_dx1_input_...
In the 90’s, mini discs were hot for a year and then just vanished.
Magneto-optical and fluorescent multi-layer disks.
Plasma displays.
VLIW/EPIC processors.
Especially as both microcontroller chips and sensor modules now exist at the scale of literal dust.
PC sound cards - for most people integrated HD Audio is enough.
SLI, AMD Crossfire
See here for a recent rundown (yeah, I know, youtube, but it's worth it in this case if you actually care about the subject.)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7q4UQL5k4wI
Graphene will be commercially cheap fairly soon, I suspect. Meantime, it isn't that difficult or expensive to experiment with for yourself.