I mean, more successful products and even market leaders such as AWS are feeling the pressure of the downturn (e.g. even AWS ached with the loss of many startups that downsized or went away due to recent SVB crisis). And yet here you have a leader-to-nothing dinosaur that despite all the crisis in the world is still alive. I honestly don't get it.
"Every day 200 times more COBOL transactions are performed versus Google searches.
More than 220 billion lines of code are running today, or about 80% of the world’s total.
About 1.5 billion new lines of COBOL are written each year."
IBM sells and maintains much of the "Big Iron" mainframes running COBOL and provides development services.
You might be able to build a more reliable & cheaper system using x86/ARM in a modern datacenter, but you would have a hell of a time getting regulators to approve it. You'd have to make IBM-free finance/insurance your entire business if you wanted to try it out. For those in the industry, it's usually not even worth talking about until you are at the M&A table and someone has a shitload of capital they would like to set on fire.
Starting from zero is not really an option for the types of businesses that are most entrenched in mainframe usage. Part of it is this legacy, but I strongly believe the other part is "valuable lessons learned over many decades". Not rocking the boat used to be something that really bothered me in my 20s and early 30s. Now, I totally get the mindset. Staying on IBM is the most responsible option in many places. It's not impossible to teach GenZ to write COBOL. Failing that, I am certain we will have an LLM that can bridge the gap soon enough.
https://www-hlidacstatu-cz.translate.goog/verejnezakazky/hle...
They just... don't.