Since most startups in the US bank with them, would you like to share some details of your current situation?
We were reluctant to move our funds most of the day yesterday. Felt like a lot of dumb panic. We had emails from a few investors, most saying "stay calm" but one saying "move your money to this bank that I'm invested in!" ugh.
We decided near the end of the day to move at least half our funds (in a money market) out, but by then it was too late to initiate anything. Now we're finding this morning nobody at SVB is returning our calls. We are able to log into the online portal just fine. So not sure if/when we'll be able to to move anything.
Annoyingly, we're moving it because everyone else is moving it. I know it's a really dumb, self-fulling prophecy but at this point you don't want to be the last in line.
Note: I'm still not actually worried that our money will evaporate permanently. But I can definitely see a situation where it is inaccessible for several weeks, causing issues with payroll and operations. I expect worst case a large bank will swoop in last second and buy all the dumb investment vehicles/bonds for pennies on the dollar and then our access to cash will come back.
IMO there's a very good chance the bank enters FDIC receivership by Monday, and there may not be room to maneuver much anymore.
Edit 10:05 am eastern: David Faber live on CNBC says he's hearing deposits are flowing out too quickly for a sale to be negotiated. Quote: "That may "set up something else" over the weekend"
I got annoyed with SVB because the online banking feels from the 90s and they charged fees that I found excessive. Switched to Brex a while ago, and never looked back.
I was planning on closing our SVB account for a while, but didn't get around to yet. Now it seems like it might close itself. I wonder what the process will look like to get the $300 back we had on there.
Is this true? And if so, how was this not a major red flag for investors earlier?
From what I gather as an outsider, it sounds like SVB has most of its assets in the form of loans to tech startups and most of its liabilities in the form of deposits from tech startups. This seems like an obvious recipe for disaster in the event of a tech downturn, no?
EDIT: People have clarified that the bonds are the big problem on the assets side, not the loans. They had a bunch of low interest rate bonds that now have to be sold at a loss because interest rates are much higher.
I'll start with committing not to withdraw money my company [redacted] holds in the bank.
We stand by SVB.
I invite others to do the same.
It sounds like it's too late to withdraw anyways, so all their customers can do at this point is exercise an emergency plan and line up options for short-term liquidity.
You don’t get any exposure to any of their potential hyper-growth in the form of debt/equity.
All you get is the deposits but they also don’t grow, the total just becomes concentrated in the accounts of the few survivors while all the other accounts go to zero as most startups die.
From what I understand since my amount is low I don't have to really do anything. Is that correct? Any advice for me?
To let it fail will harm a significant portion of the US startup community and damage the country's ability to continue to innovate. In many ways, it is too big to fail because of its ties to the startup community.
I think there is no other solution right now be a federal rescue of SVB. It is likely insolvent right now if they had to sell their assets at firesafes prices. An orderly unwind would help all involved and preserve a lot of value.
90% of my feed since yesterday contains the word SVB from hackernews.
Is this some kind of US thing? Can we just move on to other things?
they are trying to raise money? that’s cute, maybe they can create a pitch deck and be ridiculed a million times just like all of us
“you need a team” “come back when you have revenue” “we need to see more revenue” “that market is too small” etc
but you know what? they got buddies and you don’t as a founder
Everything I can see about them is completely overblown. Short and sweet version of research so far:
- They had sold their bond portfolio for 1.8B loss (originally 21B, this is 8.5% loss)
- They decided to raise money to match that loss (news release on 3/8/23)
- Headlines are confusing people with "can't sell" referring to the 3/8 attempt at capital raise, but now people think SVB is trying to sell
- Their Total Equity is around 13B (last balance sheet) -- that means if they completely dissolved and paid off all debts they would still have 13B on the balance sheet. Market Cap EOD 3/9 was 6.5B -- half of their actual asset value
- If they go into cash insolvency and get bought out, they will likely have to sell those illiquid assets at a discount (let's estimate a 40% discount) - it's still worth 6.8B.
Y'all SVB has been through this before, both in .COM and and '08. Also, to be clear -- I do not own any stock (but I want to)
Banks are well-regulated and stable and have been for decades. That said, my investors & cofounder have both expressed gratitude that our startup banks with Mercury and not SVB.