What are some of the best inspiring visions of the future you've seen?
Both distant ones, as well as ones that could be possible within ~1-2 years
I'm not a biologist but probably mRNA stuff or medicine that works with your genetic code to give you true immunity, cure chronic diseases, etc.
Automation creating a post-scarcity environment where people focus more on expanding their freedoms and quality of life instead of working more and more (unlikely if the last half-century is anything to go by).
Social media fostering a sense of "global citizenship" making wars based on nationality less likely (or at least harder to drum up support for). Imagine trying to justify the Iraq war to US citizens in 2023. There would be Iraqi Youtubers making videos humanizing their struggle. You might have Iraqi online friends in your Discord servers etc who make you question if the US Military is actually a "force for good". We can see this happening in Ukraine as we speak, granted nobody was really a fan of Russia to begin with, but I think most of us can point to a Ukrainian influencer or someone in our social circle that is directly affected by the invasion.
In a nearby sense, I am inspired every time I do random household chores, by thinking that maybe AI and robots will be able to do this soon. Folding clothes, picking up toys, putting things away where they go, cooking dinner, putting the dirty dishes into the dishwasher, putting the clean dishes away on the shelves, taking out the trash, driving to the corner store to pick up a fresh baguette.
Routine letters will be auto-generated, including letters to politicians. This will level the playing field for immigrants.
Customer service will improve radically: chatbots will actually understand what you're trying to do, and be better able to do it. Fingers crossed, voice phone tree IVR systems will finally go away.
Screensavers (including TV backgrounds) will be generative visual content and be inspiring, dynamic, any kind of content and it'll match the user and setting.
Project management tools (e.g. Jira) will capture requirements (plain English) and warn if a project is diverging or failing to meet the requirements. Obviously, this will start with the easy stuff and move to the complex stuff.
From circuits to architecture to the labels of products to logos, we'll create much more complex, interesting and varied designs with the aid of AI to both generate the designs and check that they meet requirements, including aesthetic judgments. In many cases, AI will simply issue warnings that something maybe wrong and for a human to check. Today, we use symmetry as a way to "scale up" a design - in the future, we'll use AI to generate non-repeating patterns that are nonetheless "beautiful."
The dark stuff will happen SO quickly, that governments will be forced to react, where today we pay lip service. For example, AI capital allocation will wildly reinforce the Pareto distribution (google it) requiring new and more aggressive capital reallocation structures (including taxation).
analytics reports and spreadsheets will be created by voice - you say what you want, then make adjustments. At the same time, external data sources will be able to be "pulled in" and ETL'd, also by voice.
Manna – Two Views of Humanity's Future by Marshall Brain https://marshallbrain.com/manna1
In this contentious world we live in, I feel like all we really need is a little more love for our common earthbound inhabitants.
This could work for neighborly disagreements or even bigger stuff.
I like to think (and
the sooner the better!)
of a cybernetic meadow
where mammals and computers
live together in mutually
programming harmony
like pure water
touching clear sky.
I like to think
(right now please!)
of a cybernetic forestfilled with pines and electronics
where deer stroll peacefully
past computers
as if they were flowers
with spinning blossoms.
I like to think
(it has to be!)
of a cybernetic ecologywhere we are free of our labors
and joined back to nature,
returned to our mammal
brothers and sisters,
and all watched over
by machines of loving grace.
Imagine for example that everyone who gets diagnosed with pancreatic cancer reported repeated congestion of the left nostril three years before diagnosis. It's unlikely any doctor would ever make that connection, but an AI could, and then suggest regular pancreatic cancer screening to people reporting frequent left nostril congestion.
So you can do makeup en route to work. Or you can rest en route to work. The car self drive at night so you sleep inside (like in those sleeper trains) - you might not need a hotel.
The car can also take a grandparent to take care of grandchildren, so useful for old people.
In theory traffic could be optimized too; taking a random car - instead of your own, or commutting in a group, but I doubt it will happen. People prefer to ride in their own car.
Not having to steer the car can free like 1-2 hours per day (depending on commute time), what is big.
Also work-from-home is quite inspiring future vision. People were talking about it for years and it finally happens, at least a bit. WFH sighnificantly improves quality if life.
Also what happened to drones that can bring parcels to people? When will this happen? On a side note, people from USA seem to dislike / not know "parcel lockers" ( https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Parcel_locker ) which are very convenient. I think Poland has 20 000 of them already. I dont understand the idea that the courier drops a parcel on your pouch that someone can steal. If you worked from home and a drone brought it (and notified you) then sure. But why no parcel lockers now?
I guess my utopia is where people stop making utopias and start behaving pragmatically.
Mega game mods are seemingly bottlenecked by art, textures, voice acting and such, and fanworks outside of gaming have similar constraints. And the legal issues surrounding these models arent an issue for them.
I do this by hand a lot right now where I would draft a message with what I really want to say in plain english, then I have to go back and rewrite the whole thing to edit it for tone or subtext.
It would save me a lot of time if there are options like: "rewrite this in business speak", "optimize for nonviolent communication" (or w/e other bullshit is trendy that year), "pick how angry you want to sound", "throw this guy under the bus in a more subtle way"
Think of an operator logging into the system at 3am with a C&C EVA voice calling and greeting them, "Hello Operator. We have 24 customer-facing systems offline. Preliminary analysis indicates that these are caused by 3 internal services and 2 postgres clusters being offline. With a confidence of 83%, the internal services are also offline due to the postgres clusters. I will now send you what I have found out about the postgres clusters with a probability of the scenarios and monitoring indicators for the different scenarios. It looks like the clusters are failing to elect a leader after several network-caused timeline switches with a confidence of 72%. Highly matching runbooks exist for 4 out of 7 highest probability scenarios"
Well, maybe I'd prefer that in text on a website, but no need to be that serious right now.
It is possible to get monitoring of this quality even with existing tools and maybe some internal extensions of these tools, sure. But that's a barrel you can pour effort into and it has no bottom at all. And it gets harder and harder the more complex and the more dynamic your environment is. It'd be great to dump all of that into a black box, even if that black box just establishes a global timeline of events.
* Energy so abundant it might as well be infinite.
* Instant availability (via replicator) of any food, with infinitesimal environmental or ethical concerns about its production.
* Universal translation.
* Instant diagnosis of injury or disease, and often instant treatment to go with it.
It's noteworthy that none of these involve robots, or necessarily even AI (though that might definitely help with the last two). To be honest, I'm not convinced those technologies will lead to more good outcomes than bad ones. Certainly not with the people currently driving and hyping it. I'll take the boring old physical-world improvements over that dystopia incubator any day.
Workers of the dirtiest, least desirable jobs ( sewage, septic cleanup?) get paired with a robot that handles the dirty work.
No job loss, critical infrastructure remains, just less toil for the human.
One of the biggest ways wealth gets deployed today is on old age and healthcare. We live longer but the retirement age doesn't move, and pension deficits build up. With radical productivity improvements from better AI and medical treatments we can outrun this and even consider lowering the retirement age. In the distant future we could consider an optional retirement age of 40, although "retirement" in such a world would obviously be blurry concept. It would be more like the point at which you get a lot more freedom in what you choose to do rather than the end-point of work.
Another way wealth was deployed in the 20th century was driving down the cost of air travel, but there's plenty more that can be done there. With more automation (pilots, aircrew, ATC) we can radically increase the number of flights taking place, flooding the market with supply. In the future we'll all fly business class whenever and wherever we like, and it'll cost nearly nothing.
One of the most profound ways generative AI will impact us is through entertainment. In the same way web video like YouTube made content creation available to the masses, creating vast wealth in the process, generative AI combined with technologies like Unreal 5+ will let people tell sophisticated stories in 3D using AI generated assets. Stories that the big studios and TV firms would never sign off on will get told, and we'll be able to spend far more of our time enjoying, creating and earning money from novel entertainment.
Finding true love is tough, and many never quite manage it. Dating could be revolutionized by AI. Chat to your lovable assistant and it'll get to know what you're like and what kind of person would like you. The human-like nature of its skills will prompt you to reflect upon your own wishes, and NNs trained on huge databases of successful matches will help you search for your soul mate. There'll be more happy families, fewer divorces and more quality time spent with people who are just right for you.
These are just a few random ideas, not very good ones based on only a few minutes of extrapolation. You can probably do better.
I see it being super productive to always be pair programming with an AI, and not have to type every command out... or better yet, that it provides suggestions without me needing to prompt it to do so, thereby giving this feeling that I'm just hanging out with someone and doing a more traditional pairing session
AI would pretty much be the only way we can preprogram enough entertainment for an interstellar journey that works for every pioneer.
By feeding back their individual preferences and unique quirks onto tried-and-true scaffolding like Seinfeld or the Marvel franchise, we can probably more easily endure really long stretches of boring space travel.
Fully Homomorphic encryption if improved could allow for private cloud computing or really neat p2p networks.
Many diseases will become curable and some may be eradicated from the developed world or entirely
Next 100+ years:
Quantum key distribution could allow for the best possible encryption
Neutrino based communication could allow for wireless communication through the earth
Ongoing: Extreme poverty is falling world wide
Good Mirror: Someone sells a tool for AI-assisted drawing; something that actually helps people learn something, instead of doing the job for them, mostly by creating a bad photocopy
Something along the lines of a hyperintelligent/-wise and eternally benevolent super ruler AI perhaps.
I will not comment on the realism of either of these novels, but will say that both present optimistic visions of futures where super intelligent AGIs are commonplace and both have interesting ideas to consider regardless of exactly the extent to which they are grounded in reality.