Ok, not much insight there (aka ‘same as it ever was’) but I am always fascinated about how easily human behaviour can be moulded, moderated and distracted simply by reducing the amount of crumbs left on the table to create infighting and disharmony instead of focusing attention on where the money is going and to who.
I mean, I get it - When the choice is between paying the bills and keeping a roof over your head or fighting for social justice and equality then the choice (on an individual level) is an easy one but I'm always disappointed that the populace are so easily distracted and divided by the creation of artificial scarcity and that they/we/us continue to fall for it every single time.
The mass extinctions will also help Lisp developers becoming the dominant species for the next millennia.
Musk supporters will convince themselves that he is a victim of political persecution. We won’t hear the end of it.
Will his scheme to avoid legal consequences work?
People become grateful for all the good and what is right in the world.
Lots of investment moving to AI based companies
New wave of companie focusing on AI hardware too
Related, a centralized ActivityPub-as-a-service app will surpass Mastodon in adoption.
We'll see the first fully AI generated movie, album or game. It won't be great, but it will be better than you'd expect, and it will make money.
Along side the other predictions at the start of the decade I made [1][2] with the majority of the predictions being accurate so far, I am still predicting that startups that don't turn a profit will be struggling to raise further capital by VCs as it will get harder to seek more capital for them to stay afloat in 2023.
[0] https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=20993919
Other regulations in name of limiting CO2 expected as well.
Putin might not make it through 2023. If he keeps pushing for the war and the rest of the elites/political sphere in Russia want it to end, I can see him being taken out by them.
Twitter crashes and burns. Musk is already doing everything in his power to achieve that, and it feels like the site/company is on thin ice right now, in pretty much every sense.
The Mario movie comes out, does well. Nintendo announces the Donkey Kong movie that's suppposedly in production, plus a few other adaptations.
The Legend of Zelda Tears of the Kingdom comes out, does well. Some people feel it doesn't do enough that's new, but the general design is good enough to get high review scores nonetheless.
Mario Kart 8 Deluxe gets character DLC
At least one long running show finally ends. Maybe this is the time The Simpsons finally comes to a close? Or could it be Family Guy, South Park, Spongebob, etc? Eh, if the Pokemon anime can be rebooted without Ash, this seems viable too.
Crypto continues to struggle, as people realise there aren't many use cases for things like Bitcoin outside of questionable activity and countries with broken economic systems.
The cracks show for Meta... Horizon Worlds isn't catching on, and Facebook is dying. Eventually it'll hurt the company financially too.
Discord tries to monetise its services more, users get annoyed.
Either the UK PM steps down, or another election is called.
The cat leaves the bag, and AI tech becomes usable outside of hosted services. All kinds of ethical questions get raised.
2. Farisa’s Crossing (Michael O. Church’s book) is released in September or October and is actually good enough to win awards.
3. Major recession. Housing market becomes dysfunctional and illiquid. This puts the Fed in a tough spot because the only way to solve housing market illiquidity is inflation (people get anchored to the nominal prices they paid, so inflation is the only way to get them to accept losing money instead of hoarding) but inflation is something most people despise, even when it’s the good kind.
4. An act of violence against a private equity fund occurs and draws public support. Jury nullification becomes a dinner table topic.
5. Black hat uses of large language models become enough of a problem that regulators get involved.
6. Donald Trump is proven culpable enough of criminal activity that it would be fatal to a normal political candidate. Not sure it will be for him.
7. Vladimir Putin’s health worsens. What happens here is hard to predict. The people around him, on one hand, will be frantically trying to prevent a desperate old man from destroying the world. But they will also be jockeying for their own individual positions, which makes things unpredictable. They might be more dangerous than Putin, who is evil but is not stupid or irrational.
8. Elon Musk. I wish there was a verb. There isn’t. I would prefer the sentence be “Elon Musk retires to get to know his family.” But it won’t be. Just, Elon Musk.
Maybe… Half Life 3 will be released?