What caused the board to change the direction 180 and now closing the deal with Musk?
Can anyone shed a light on that, I didn't see anyone talking about this.
Then they can do things like 'merge' the company with some other company they own at a board-approved value-per-share. That value will be much lower than what they paid per share when buying it on the open market, but not so low that the government gets involved. Eg: Musk buys the shares at $50/share, and then 'merges' the company at $25/share, effectively forcing 49% of the shares to be sold at half price. Those shareholders get screwed because they didn't sell their shares during the initial takeover.
Edit: Or, just run the company however they want and share the profits with the other 49%, but ignore their votes, etc.
The Poison Pill says "If a hostile takeover starts, we'll create and sell new shares at a reduced price to existing shareholders- other than the attacker- to prevent the 51% scenario". This is done not to prevent any takeover, but in the interest of the 49% of holdouts who would have been screwed over. It's an effective block against the takeover.
The board represents ALL the shareholders, after all. They don't want to see anyone get screwed.
But now Musk has made a deal that the board has approved. All shareholders get a specific price that is approved. The board wants this to happen, so there's no poison pill.
(If the board hadn't relented, Musk's next step would have been to arrange for a tender offer, which goes directly to the shareholders, but does not involved Musk acquiring new shares, but rather just a commitment to buy those shares if the board drops the poison pill. Successfully getting that commitment would be a very strong signal to the board, which would likely then drop the shareholder rights plan and allow the acquisition to proceed. But Twitter's board skipped those steps.)
The board is negotiating an approved takeover which is entirely different
I.e. the board was saying “you can only buy Twitter if we say so”
There was no reversal of intentions
1. https://www.reuters.com/business/exclusive-twitter-under-sha...
What happened? Simple. Large shareholders are in favor of the sale.
The board here doesn't "sell" Twitter. All they do is recommend to the shareholders to accept the offer. I mean it's not quite as simple as that because there are rules about making formal takeover offers and boards can (and do) negotiate with potential buyers who may exact conditions like not seeking other offers and so on.
But ultimately this is up to the shareholders and the board is just reflecting the will of those shareholders to sell.
Enough of the large shareholders behind the scenes backed the deal for whatever reason. Who, what and why? We'll never get the real story. Not in any newspaper, blog or whatever. I'm sure we'll get some fanciful stories, but that's all it'll be. Fanciful stories.
The board of directors aren't the ones that have the final say. It's the major shareholders. Usually, the major shareholders back the board of directors because they are the ones who elect/hire the board of directors. Somehow, Elon and his backers convinced enough of the big boys to back him instead of the board of directors. Simple as that. Maybe he offered them free a roadster, starlink setup or a seat on a future spacex mission to mars. Who knows. But elon outmaneuvered the board of directors somehow.
The rumor is that the offer to be accepted is the same, so it wouldn’t have worked as intended, but that doesn’t mean it wasn’t worth trying.
[0] https://www.cnbc.com/2022/04/15/twitter-board-adopts-poison-...
Musks asks the board if he can buy Twitter.
The board institutes a poison pill to prevent any shenanigans while they consider the offer / to give them leverage.
The board decides to accept musk's offer. Musk did not have to do a hostile takeover by buying shares in the market, so the poison pill never triggered.
„Things that must be true if Twitter’s board is ready to accept @elonmusk’s offer:
1) they did a soft market check and there were no other bidders.
2) @Jack is on board.
3) the pressure campaign worked.“ (cont.)
https://twitter.com/davidsacks/status/1518623080557342720?s=...
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Unocal_Corp._v._Mesa_Petroleum....
Basically a company can ONLY create a poison pill IF and ONLY IF:
* the tactics of the party doing the hostile takeover are "coercive"
* the hostile takeover will likely result in dissolution of the company
Neither applies to Twitter in any serious sense. Musk's methods are anything but coercive under the law per point #1. A change in direction or operations is NOT legally the same as point #2.
Additionaly, board members are required under law to maximize shareholder value under the rubrik of profit maximization (eBay vs. Newmark) and public company board members can be PERSONALLY legally liable for lost profits and punitive damages.
https://www.lexisnexis.com/community/casebrief/p/casebrief-e...
It's VERY LIKELY that the Twitter board was informed of these cases (again, hopefully - these are legal fundamentals of being on a corporate board you'd be stupid not to know ahead of time).
As a result the Twitter board appears to have "straightened up and are flying right" in terms of law and potential legal liability now.
Again: I'm utterly mystified that boards (especially in "Tech") do not seem to know basic stuff like this and let companies run riot in ways that puts both the board and executives at tremendous personal legal and financial risk.
If Elon buys Twitter, what happens to the board? Well, he can fire them all. They may prefer to remain board members, with the money and power that comes from that. So the poison pill, while it may be offered in the name of "protecting" the existing shareholders, is really a way for the existing board to remain in power.
But that won't work if the offer is good enough that the existing shareholders want to take it. Then the poison pill becomes something the shareholders don't like, because it prevented them from doing what they want. Depending on how badly the existing shareholders wanted the offer, the board may not remain in power that way either.
Note well: There may be details in the way all this went down that don't fit in my cynical little narrative. But absent knowledge of those details, this is my suspicion of what's really driving the poison pill.
As an aside, I have no direct proof but I'm convinced that Twitter is massively overvalued. The board could've just been fishing for a higher offer.
Unless twitter had some crazy annual report under its sleeve there was no way anyone was valuing it at over 54.20. That doesn’t mean that the board has to accept that offer and it doesn’t mean they have to take any Jack or Jill that makes that offer seriously. But it does mean if someone who can clearly afford it shows serious interest the deal will probably, at least possibly, happen.
The poison pill was never a rejection of the 54.20 or price. If you read something that gave you that impression go back and look up the author, and never read them again. They did you a disservice.
He secured financing for the deal.
This is a good piece (before Musk had secured the financing): https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2022-04-20/elon-c...
> Another point I would make is that Twitter’s board is doing a decent job of (1) asking these questions and (2) forcing Musk to answer them. In a sense, launching a tender offer is a way for Musk to put pressure on the board to do a deal. But in another sense, forcing Musk to launch a tender offer is a way for the board to pressure him to find financing, which is a prerequisite to a deal and not something he would do on his own. In his own life, Musk is very casual about what counts as “funding secured,” as we know now from repeated experience. Writing a tender offer document will force him to be less casual.
> Broadly speaking, what has happened so far is (1) Musk offered the board $54.20 per share to buy Twitter, (2) the board said “show us the money,” and (3) Musk is working on it. If he comes up with the money, then the board will have to make some decisions, but right now the ball is in his court.
It however takes shareholders to want to buy more. Twitter is quite undefended. Poison pill was never going to be effective in any major way. At most they were going to delay the inevitable here.
The media coverage of the poison pill was pretty bad, this was not going to be effective at stopping anything. The bigger news is why is Twitter so undefended. It makes sense from Jack Dorsey's pov, he was backing off. However even a saudi prince incorrectly believed he still owned twitter stock. It's super unusual for a S&P500 company to be so undefended.
Yet worse, something that I have never seen happen, there are a ton of S&P500 companies that are undefended. This isn't true in other country indexes. What made the US stock market so offensive? I checked all my US holdings and somehow each of them are healthy with the only exception being Tyson. The stock market is going to blow up?
DOW is down -7% YTD. S&P500 is down -11% YTD. With inflation at 8.5%, those are down alot.
This led Twitter's board to take his offer more seriously and many shareholders to ask the company not to let the opportunity for a deal slip away [2].
[1] https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1418091/000110465922...
[2] https://www.reuters.com/technology/exclusive-twitter-set-acc...
It is artificial dilution, which in practice makes it possible for the board to cause heavy short-term losses to anyone attempting a hostile takeover: the market reaction to dilution is predictably a lowering of the going price of the stock unless the news comes with significant and credible hype about future profits.
The risk of this happening is what is thought to stave off the takeover.
The poison pill left “Musk two main options. One is to negotiate with Twitter’s board and try to strike a friendly deal. This might be hard because the board probably wants more money than Musk is willing to pay, and also because there seem to be strategic and personal disagreements between Musk and the board that might make friendly negotiations difficult. ‘I am not playing the back-and-forth game,’ Musk said in his initial proposal; ‘I have moved straight to the end.’ That’s an annoying way to start negotiations.
His other option is to pressure the board into dropping the pill, and the classic way to do that is with a tender offer plus a proxy fight, as we discussed yesterday:
1. Musk can launch a tender offer to buy all of Twitter's stock for $54.20 in cash. (Or, of course, some higher number.) The tender offer is a public, binding document filed with the SEC, open to all shareholders, and it will be full of disclosures about his plans and, in particular, his financing. Shareholders will be able to read it and see if he has the money. If it looks like he does, then they will be able to decide if $54.20 is a good enough price. If they think it is, they will be able to tender into his offer, submitting their shares for purchase. He won’t be able to buy them, though, because of the poison pill; the tender offer will be contingent on getting rid of the pill. But if like 90% of shareholders tender into his offer, then that is an important public-relations victory; he can go to the board and say “your shareholders want this deal, let them take it.” And then the board might agree and get rid of the pill, and then the tender offer can close and he can buy the shares.
2. Meanwhile, he can also try to get shareholders to vote their shares in a way that gets rid of the pill. Classically, the way to do this is to run a proxy fight to kick out the existing directors and replace them with Musk’s chosen directors, who would get rid of the pill and let him close his deal. Musk can’t really do that here, because of Twitter’s corporate structure, but he can run some sort of informal symbolic proxy fight where he urges Twitter’s shareholders to vote against the directors who are up for election in May, or where he urges them to vote to declassify Twitter’s board so it’s easier to kick the directors out in the future. If 90% of shareholders vote with him for these things, that’s another sign to the board that the shareholders want his deal and should be allowed to take it.
These things do not work automatically; even if 90% of shareholders tendered into Musk’s offer and voted with him at the annual meeting, the board could still tell him to buzz off. It could easily do that if it found another bidder willing to pay a higher price, but it could also legally do that even without a higher bid; the law tends to defer to the board’s business judgment about whether or not to accept a merger offer. But most of the time directors care about what their shareholders think, and if all the shareholders want Musk’s $54.20 then it’s embarrassing for the board not to give it to them.” [1]
TL; DR The poison pill forces Musk to negotiate with the Board.
[1] https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2022-04-20/elon-c...
The board are required to act in shareholders best interests. Taking poison pills is not usually in their interest. So you have to do it before their are a lot of shareholders (while you're still privately held) or you need a very good excuse. Doing it during a takeover is especially questionable. So the board would open themselves up to personal liability...
— Terry Pratchett, the Colour of Magic
Therefore, the board engaging with his bid to buy twitter, and the two of them only negotiating that way, was the goal. So it's not a 180.
The board was originally hesitant to engage because even Elon Musk could have a lot of trouble raising $44 billion in cash. They didn't want to agree to a deal that didn't go through (like trying to buy a house without cash or preapproval). He seems to have secured loans to actually pay for Twitter, so now they are seriously engaging.
However they are quite happy to let Musk buy all of them out (owning 100%) at a reasonable price then let him do whatever marketshare-tanking moves he wishes. They don’t actually care about the fate of the company, they just don’t want to lose money.
The fact that they are enacted only in certain scenarios to me is the indicator that they are hostile and discriminatory.
For the first time in a long time I am slightly optimistic about the future.
The poison pill would force Musk to be a "good actor" in the negotiations. You want negotiations like this to be friendly and not become a hostile takeover.
No, it wasn't. What they did was change the governance rules to create a poison pill to minimize the possibility of a hostile takeover. Musk's offer was an offer made "to" the board, it wasn't an attempt to actually buy >50% of the company on the open market. In point of fact, "true" hostile takeovers are pretty much impossible owing to exactly this ability of boards of directors to allocate new shares (though the details vary between companies, some have limited rulemaking, some have very large individual shareholders who might act in concert, etc...).
This kind of stuff is just general prudence on the part of the board when it looks like a takeover attempt might be in progress. It doesn't constrain their ability to negotiate on behalf of all the shareholders.
https://www.wsj.com/articles/how-elon-musk-won-twitter-11650...
freelink: https://www.wsj.com/articles/how-elon-musk-won-twitter-11650...
tldr:
- Making an offer without financing was a 4-D chess negotiating tactic
- Nobody else stepped in to buy it
- Musk was lining up support from other top shareholders
- Twitter's bankers told them it was a good deal
Anyway, I know the pundits are putting out face-savey type narrative. From my armchair over here, I’m seeing that the board had no choice but to sell.
:)
In the case of a non "hostile" takeover, meaning the board approves the takeover price there is no poison pill to be used.
Don't they teach this stuff anymore? I had to learn this in college, many years ago.
Of course, it was a little less likely for eccentric billionaires to just "shop" in the market like this for ultra-large corporations. Still. We at least knew how the processes worked.