Extrapolating your sample of 1 to the population mpg and assuming a correlation with the fuel price change is as relevant as making a correlation with the horoscope predictions of the month. There are so many things that could change that reading that you’re not telling us that this post is pretty useless.
It would be more useful to try to troubleshoot your mpg change.
I have heard various anecdotal stories of people seeing a drop in MPG, although I would only expect it to be about 3-5% as that’s how much less energy there is in the fuel.
Some older cars aren’t fully compatible with E10, maybe that could be the problem?
How dirty are the injectors, how clean are the air filter, how good are the spark plugs, if the mass air flow sensor works OK, and some other parts that could make your car to use more gas. All of this can be inspected by any good mechanic easily.
In my area there are 2 types of gas stations - ones with Ethanol and ones that target motorcycle advertising "100% gas" which is more expensive, but you definitely get more MPG. If I were you I'd try a different brand for a few fill ups and chart the differences.
I remember when ethanol fuel came out.
* I no longer needed to run premium in it unless it was really hot outside, plus was fine.
* I actually get better highway mileage with the ethanol fuel.
* It warms up better / faster when it's cold if I run regular.
Someone else in this thread mentioned having the gas tested and that could be possible but i would consider it unlikely.
If you’ve checked spark and air filters, my next questions would be transmission and tires. Are your tires at the proper air pressure? Is your transmission slipping at all? Are your plugs fouled at all?
You could ask a dealership to run a diagnostic, Toyota’s dealership technicians are actually pretty good.
https://www.bellperformance.com/blog/bid/49483/fuel-mileage-....
But while I'm thinking of it, has anyone had any issues leaving a wifi or bluetooth obd2 gadget plugged in all the time? I'm thinking of doing a thing with the nearest bored raspi I find but I'll need continuous obd2 sourced data.
Think in terms of recording / graphing etc.