During Windows RT, Microsoft failed to port Office to Arm. They now have it running on Windows 11 thanks to emulation. But that doesn't apply to everything, certainly not gaming.
I wonder if there's going to be a compatibility gap. A period of time where people won't be able to run their old x86 programs on ARM because the emulation and hardware resources available simply aren't advanced enough.
Most consumers don't really care what operating system comes with their computer, they just want something to run their programs. Will hardware vendors take this as an opportunity to "break the chains" from Windows. Or is this dependency not relevant enough anymore for vendors to even be concerned.
I feel like it's been a long time since anyone's complained about the "Wintel" monopoly.
As long as people use the x64/x86 chipsets, Windows will be around. When they stop using those chips, Windows will fade away.
Microsoft's cash-cow used to be Windows, all else derived from that. Microsoft itself is becoming less relevant, it doesn't have much that is exclusive any more.
A prediction: When China becomes the main chip producer towards the end of this decade, we will start using Asian-designed chips. The software for those newer advanced chips will become the next major operating-system(s). Windows, and possibly Linux and MacOS too, will disappear quite quickly.