How do you expect the world to change if Russia invades Ukraine?

My personal opinion: it will change in the same way as it changed when Russia invaded Crimean Peninsula - almost no one remembers, no one cares, it changed nothing outside of Russia/Ukraine. The world forgot.

Lots of sanctions, fear, anger, and more economic troubles everywhere. Increased food and fuel costs.

Refugees flood out of Ukraine into nearby countries. Humanitarian crisis and calls for international aid / assistance.

More COVID outbreaks due to refugees and bad living conditions.

Other eastern European nations will be interested in joining NATO or some kind of security pact so the same thing does not happen to them.

The headline is incorrect. My proposal is "How do you expect the world to change if Russia invades rest of Ukraine?"

From the rethoric you hear from EU leaders and the US president, I don't expect NATO to take any direct military action, because blowing this conflict to a full-scale war between two of the main military powers would catastrophically disrupt the global economy. Furthermore, I don't think one would find enough public support for going to war with Russia in most of those countries, which would make a sitting president willing to get directly involved, wildly unpopular.

Here in the US, the military industrial complex would use it to drive funding, sow fear, and keep "strong on defense" politicians in power. It also serves to distract from the abject failure of governments worldwide to properly handle Covid.

However, I have been lied to repeatedly by "news" organizations, so why not use the power of the internet to see how things really are? I did a search for live webcams based in Ukraine, and it looks to me like things there are actually quite normal. People are walking around the public squares, there are people skiing on the slopes.

Is there really anything more than political shenanigans to keep Ukraine out of NATO happening? I have reason to doubt it.

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If there is an actual invasion, I agree with alfanick, nothing much will change.

I think it will severely impact outsourcing to Ukraine. These people will most likely move to HCOL countries and wages will grow.

I think it will encourage China to expand its borders sooner than it already plans to

No more chicken kievs (it's their only export)

EU will/should subsidize non gas/oil exponentially