Predictions for 2022?

Historical:

2021: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=25594068

2020: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=21802596

2019: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=18753859

2018: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=16007988

2017: none?

2016: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=10809767

2015: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=8822723

2014: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=6994370

2013: none?

2012: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=3395201

2011: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=1970023

• Web3 becomes way more about portability of identity and micropayments than ownership of expensive 8-bit art

• Live commerce finally becomes mainstream in America

• Google tries to copy Notion

• Tidal waves of headlines about the upcoming demise of Bitcoin and ETH. Both tokens still end the year significantly stronger

• Bay Area to continue losing relative importance in tech. Anyone with hard skills itching to maximize bang for their buck

• Apple Sidecar still inexplicably buggy

"It's the end of the world...

As we know it. And I feel fine."

-- My annual prediction, same as it ever was

Covid declared endemic, Rho variant spreads globally. Access to social programs requires vaccination. China's lunar rover discovers mystery hut on the dark side of the moon is a rock. Massive civil unrest throughout the United States. Demonstrations against rapid inflation and wealth inequality. Drone delivery services begin to take off. Game announcements showing photorealistic graphics using Unreal Engine 5 Nanite. SpaceX Starship reaches orbit. Apple releases a virtual reality headset.

Bitcoin crashes as China no longer mines Bitcoins due to electricity costs.

WEB 3.0 will be ML, AI based.

Economy gets worse.

It becomes the Post-Democracy world, where nations try socialism and communism.

Russia tries to invade Ukraine.