Review of “ Predictions for 2021?”

Question

The original predictions link:https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=25594068

muzani · Accepted Answer

Only one mention of climate change. Which was the biggest problem of the world before covid. Here's a tweet (in Malay) back in 2019, warning that parts of the country would be underwater in 2050: https://twitter.com/CentGPS/status/1191913321391247360Floods hit hard a few weeks ago, really hard. Cars were underwater, homes completely wrecked. A lot of the damage were in line with the chart above. They're working on drainage but I don't really think that'll help for rising sea levels.

ak_111 · Answer

Striking that the major stories that occurred this year weren't mentioned anywhere in any of the top voted comments, or where mentioned in exactly the wrong way:
ordered by my subjective level of importance:
- Increased spread of covid variants right until the end of 2021 (along with prolonging of lockdown measures).
- Official recognition by the Fed that inflation is no longer transitory
- State Capitol attack.
- Increased confrontation with Russia.
- Taliban taking over Afghanistan in a blink of an eye.
- Stock market smashing all time high after all time high.
- Evergrande collapse.
- Lira collapse
- The Great Resignation
- web3, nft and metaverse dominating tech discussion.

abletonlive · Answer

Inflation was pretty well predicted. Good job hackernews

rvz · Answer

My favourite prediction of all time (username checks out): https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=25601917

contravariant · Answer

> Software Bill of Material (SBOM) will become more of a thingNot sure if it's become more of a thing but it is pretty dang relevant these last few weeks.

ggm · Answer

my pick for 2022 remains crypto crash.my second pick is that quantum supremacy will not happen in 2022my third pick is that 2022 will be the year of linux desktop

betwixthewires · Answer

Well, number 55 was not factored using Shor's algorithm on a quantum computer, so I'm a happy camper.

jimhi · Answer

The next incoming trend of startups is Buy Now, Pay later. A series of companies will offer you to keep your standard of living and assume you can pay it off at a later date.Many will abuse these services assuming they can have their pre-Covid lifestyles and just &ldquo;wait out&rdquo; whatever recession.

lkrubner · Answer

The process of drug approval is so slow that I can&rsquo;t predict a one year revolution, but given a few years, I do expect to see mRNA vaccines/treatments to emerge as a broad category treating dozens of medical conditions.

Review of “ Predictions for 2021?”

The original predictions link:
https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=25594068

Inflation was pretty well predicted. Good job hackernews

My favourite prediction of all time (username checks out): https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=25601917

> Software Bill of Material (SBOM) will become more of a thing
Not sure if it's become more of a thing but it is pretty dang relevant these last few weeks.

my pick for 2022 remains crypto crash.
my second pick is that quantum supremacy will not happen in 2022
my third pick is that 2022 will be the year of linux desktop

Well, number 55 was not factored using Shor's algorithm on a quantum computer, so I'm a happy camper.

The next incoming trend of startups is Buy Now, Pay later. A series of companies will offer you to keep your standard of living and assume you can pay it off at a later date.
Many will abuse these services assuming they can have their pre-Covid lifestyles and just “wait out” whatever recession.

The process of drug approval is so slow that I can’t predict a one year revolution, but given a few years, I do expect to see mRNA vaccines/treatments to emerge as a broad category treating dozens of medical conditions.