Sadly, I believe there is no silver bullet for that, the blow-ups seem to be rather chaotic, at least on the short to midterm basis.
Whereas for mid- to longterm trends, this usually correlates somehow with the technical „backup“ or substance that is provided for a given project: - does the project have a clear vision? - does the project have its own technical platform (its own blockchain for instance)? - how innovative is the project?
Projects like Ethereum, Cardano and Polkadot for instance do have a higher probability (!) to grow in my opinion, as they have significant technical knowledge and expertise under their belt.