I’ve been following Bitcoin since 2013 but never made a serious investment as I’m not a believer. At the same time I can’t rule it out completely. Will fiat last forever or will it be replaced? Is crypto that replacement? Maximalists would have us believe that the USD will hyper inflate and Bitcoin is a hedge. But is it?
I’m using Bitcoin interchangeably with crypto. If you are for other crypto and not Bitcoin can you tell us why? If you are against it all can you tell why?
Just trying to get different opinions on why people believe / don’t believe in Bitcoin(or crypto in general)
And in that regard, I find something like Monero, which specifically has anonymity as a feature, more appealing. And then all the "smart contract" / "programmable money" aspects of things like Ethereum also have some appeal, but not enough to date to where I've bothered actually buying any.
All of that said, I want a viable crypto-currency - that functions primarily as a currency - to exist, as something that's outside of government control, and ideally something that allows for anonymous transactions. I'm just not sure we have it yet. Maybe it's Monero, or maybe we're still waiting for The One. I don't spend enough time on this topic to be sure.
Negative on the way crypto has become a financial instrument. Most of the issues you’re seeing come from the fact that coins are being used to make money, not from the inherent nature of digital currencies.
Ambivalent on Bitcoin in particular. All it really has going for it is first mover advantage. Other options like Cardano or Ethereum have far less issues. However, they still seem to be largely shaped by a small group of people, which largely defeats the purpose.
So, in sum: still waiting for the real killer cryptocurrency. It needs to be both stable and have good reasons to be adopted that aren’t, “I’ll make money from this as an investment.”
All non-crypto-currency based methods require permissions, and are politically gated.
Thus despite the negatives, i think crypto-currency can help connect the world.
On paper, they are very, very rich.
In reality, they can very quickly and easily crash bitcoin by flooding the market.
No thanks.
That said all of my millennial friends that have gained some wealth without working at google or being a high profile accountant/lawyer all gained it via bitcoin and alt-coin speculating, in some ways it seems to be the only viable method to do so right now, but I believe governments will crack down on it and regulate it soon, which will likely stabilize it enough to keep any massive gains from happening in the future. Also it could just be one of those hot potato style bubbles like the .com crash where whoever is left holding the expensive bag gets a loss while those who sold just before ended up rich.
Or you can ignore it, earn 4% on your index funds, retire after 40 years and have a simple life. I’ve chosen something else…
For me, I am anti-crypto:
* Seen many bad examples of abuse, e.g. MLMs, scams, laundering, cyber crimes, etc.
* Bad impression with early users. Most are driven by greed with vanity more than productivity or strong values.
* Wasting so much energy for "copy and paste" with no real use case. This hurts environment a lot.
But from people I know, behind all that is just wanting to get rich quick. The majority of people just hold on Coinbase, a centralized exchange, and tell other people to buy it too so the price can go up.
Supposing, as in many countries where there is conflict today, there is no electricity available for weeks on end. How do you prove you have bitcoin? How do you go about buying something with it?
What happens if you forget/misplace/lose the password? I know of some people who are forever locked out of using the bitcoin(s) they "own" because the password has been lost.
What happens to those 'lost' bitcoin? Who owns them now? Do they just disappear into the unknown, the same as every other thing sent to the bit-bucket?
Now, compare 'owning' the bitcoin to really owning a small bar of gold. Gold exists forever, atom by atom, till the end of the universe. It matters not if the electricity is gone for a century or two, that gold can be used as a store of wealth or to buy something, no matter what is happening in the world around it.
- Not suitable as an asset.
- Not suitable as a currency.
- Bad for the environment.
- “Community” is rife with scams and illegality.
Is the price of crypto/BTC versus USD going to go up or down? No one knows for sure and there is little helpful discussion to come from that question.
Is BTC going to "replace" USD? Almost surely not (US cannot control BTC sufficiently).
Is crypto going to "replace" USD? USD may at some point acquire some features of crypto but not without years of advance notice, massive debates in Congress, etc. Crypto will almost surely not replace USD without US government adoption. Simplest explanation is that the US government only accepts USD for payment (IRS or any other department). The US government is by far the largest player in the world monetary system.
Pro; Bitcoin solves the "principal-agent" problem that is common amongst governance in contemporary institutions [0]
Cons; The technology is still too primitive to be practically applied on a global scale [1]
[0]: https://as1ndu.xyz/2021/04/clarifying-the-blockchain-proposi...
[1]: https://as1ndu.xyz/2018/05/why-blockchain-is-not-yet-working...
I will only use proof-of-stake networks, and I think everybody else should do the same.