If M2 is all the currency in bank accounts and wallets etc, the have we expanded the money supply by Trillions? Is it measurable?
Just thinking out loud
So M2 is a good example of this principle. M2 IS NOT ALL CURRENCY IN BANK ACCOUNTS AND WALLETS. It is a measure of USD both in terms of currency(paper money) and debt(credit) in circulation. You can't just talk about M2 generally, outside of the context of the dollar, it is specifically a metric for measuring the dollar. Therefore by its definition, bitcoin cannot directly affect M2 or USD inflation.
So then saying > have we expanded the money supply by Trillions?
is sort of like saying "Is it hot now?" to which you'd respond "Is what hot?" The question would have to be "Have we expanded the money supply of USD by Trillions?" In which case the answer would be yes but that has nothing to do with Bitcoin.
This is also why currencies are denominated in pairs like USD/EUR or BTC/ETH. The USD is kind of a meaningless concept until you compare it's value relatively to something else, either goods or services or another currency. So you can't just say a dollar is worth 12 value. You have to say a dollar is worth 1 hamburger or a dollar is worth .00001 BTC. In this sense inflation of the USD is when it takes more USD to buy a BTC. In this sense again you can see that inflation has to be relative to a specific currency.
Collectively people doing that create aggregate demand in the economy, increase GDP, and if they use the extra money they believe they have to bid up the prices of goods and services, increase inflation.
And I don't think I'm alone.
In a more general sense? I don't know. Folks are still debating whether Bitcoin should even be considered a currency. Maybe it's better thought of as an asset like gold, from how people seem to be using it. Except at least you can make computer chips to mine Bitcoin with, out of gold. So maybe it's not even quite like that. Maybe it's something entirely new and our old models don't model it quite right, sort-of-like currency, but not quite.
Now, if we do accept that Bitcoin is operating as a currency, then yes, it would be part of a more fuzzily defined notion of total global (or American) money supply, including all national currencies and currency-like instruments in use. But then, taking that very literally, so are cigarettes, given their use in black market commerce in prisons. For both of them it would be hard to measure, but it's definitely a factor in some way.
I don't know if it's affecting inflation. I do suspect that the recent rise in price is at least partly driven by people seeking safe harbour from inflation, especially those who do not have an easy mechanism for buying real estate and the other usual hedges against inflation.