I'm talking specifically about comparatively new process tech/smaller gate widths and I'm hoping the answer isn't as simple as, "it's expensive" or "export restrictions".
That is to say, is the challenge technical (if I was a rich supervillain, could I hire a team to build my own ASML equivalent - or is that form of lithography so complex that it's hard to replicate ). Say I could buy the machines, is it then only a matter of money to set up the fab to production levels ? Or is that a technical gamble too ?
I see a lot of discussion about other countries trying to get into the fab business and I guess, with my lack of understanding of the technical challenge, I always wonder why a state-level entity can't just pay X billion dollars for what is, arguably, an amazingly valuable asset.
I've heard (apocryphal?) stories, here on HN and elsewhere about countries trying (at least on paper) and failing - a recent attempt in China (failed for several reasons), past attempts in India (failed on infrastructure requirements). It was pretty fascinating from a bird's-eye view of the supply chain that results in a chip today.
Or to put it another way, some of the difficulties are analogs to those of developing nuclear weapons. There are trust issues in the supply chain due to an adversarial aspect to the undertaking.
Or where does one buy the latest lithography hardware?