How are we modeling the outbreak?

Question

Some U.S. states are now telling their citizens that they don&rsquo;t need to be tested for COVID-19 except after consulting with a physician.The U.S. government and media are reporting confirmed cases (an absolute number).It seems like the government is using a statistical model to quantify the number of infected without testing. Does anyone here know what the model is? If not, are there models that are likely to be used in this case?

jt2190 · Accepted Answer

The Center for Communicable Disease Dynamics at Harvard University has a series of tweets that are a good introduction to epidemic modeling: https://twitter.com/CCDD_HSPH/status/1222257431230631936The tweet thread has a link to this paper at the National Center for Biotechnology Information, U.S. National Library of Medicine: "How generation intervals shape the relationship between growth rates and reproductive numbers": https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC1766383/

kirubakaran · Answer

Here is a collection of few links I use to keep abreast of the situation: https://histre.com/pub/notebooks/bjzie1md/corona-virus-stats...

jt2190 · Answer

This HN thread gathered a few links to some data and graphs: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=22642370