How worried are you about coronavirus?

Its like..imagine flu were twice as likely as it is now but 10x as deadly if you got it, especially if you're over 50. Is it nothing? No. Is it bubonic plague? No. Can you catch it? Not at the moment unless you're in hubei? Its a bit like 90% of it is in hubei, 9% rest of china and 1% rest of the world..

Most of the problem is health systems cant scale for 2x flu in a short time.. But the world has a bit of time for prep since its mostly a chinese problem at the moment..

The rest of it is mostly economic fallout from secondary effects like travel restrictions and large scale quarantines(like the chinese have done). Unless you're in the travel and hospitality industry..theres probably little impact at the moment?

Why are you stressed?

the best thing you can do for yourself is get yourself off the news. it is incredibly toxic psychologically and unlikely that it will increase your happiness. cut out what doesn't serve you. Your handle says "FailMore" so try new things with the time freed up from ditching your phone, even if you fail it will still be better than staying in whatever the algorithms are feeding you. (keep in mind that your surrounding is also in the same algorithm prison and you might have to take active measures to tune out the BS).

fwiw, I grew up when the HIV epidemic went through the news cycle in the 80ies. And the news were similar in tone but exposure to news was limited (no Internet, no phones). So I often wonder what would happen if something like HIV comes around today in the age of the Internet. It would be mayhem I'm sure.

There is also a lot of disinfo around covid-19 popping up: https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1228525855208427521

Now-ish is the time to take advantage of cheap flight+hotel deals in asia.. The chinese are stuck at home with their covid-19... Do get travel insurance though?

I feel zero stress. CDC estimates 16,000-41,000 flu deaths for the 2019-2020 season (through 15 Feb) in the US alone.

https://www.cdc.gov/flu/about/burden/preliminary-in-season-e...

Look at US coronavirus deaths. Do the math. Sleep easy.

If not in the US, substitute $YOURCOUNTRY. Do the math. Sleep easy.

Not at all. In the worst possible case, global pandemic, it'd kill maybe one in fifty people. That case is very unlikely.

If you take basic precautions as you would for flu--wash your hands properly, etc.--your odds are even better.

Better to worry about what matters: Quit smoking, use your seat belts, eat healthier, etc.

I got a large life insurance policy to support my family if I die before the kids are grown.

I’m very worried because:

- We don’t have good data on the true morbidity rate.

- The actions China is taking seem very extreme and they have the most experience with it.

- Isolated quarantine of infected patients seems like the only way to prevent its spread and this is hard to do given our 2020 way of life.

- Did I mention we don’t have good data? But the reports of longer than 14 day incubation periods, re-infection, and asymptomatic spread are worrying.

- The US health system seems quite unprepared. We have ~100,000 ICU beds total.

- Not to mention the economic impact. So, so many goods made in China and SE Asia, and in fact, in the least developed countries whose health systems are worst.

- Vaccine or a kind mutation seem like the best hope to me, and these are very uncertain.